More IP traffic will cross global networks by 2022 than in the 32 internet years combined through 2016, Cisco forecast Tuesday. Sixty percent of the global population will be internet users, said Cisco, and more than 28 billion devices and connections will be online, with video comprising 82 percent of all IP traffic. “The size and complexity of the internet continues to grow in ways that many could not have imagined,” said Jonathan Davidson, general manager-service provider business. Since the company's first forecast in 2005, internet traffic has increased “56-fold,” he said. To handle the data surge, service providers are transforming their networks to better manage and route traffic, while delivering premium experiences, said Davidson. IP traffic is expected to reach 396 exabytes monthly by 2022, up from 122 exabytes monthly in 2017, he said (an exabyte = 1 million terabytes). Cisco predicts 4.8 billion internet users -- 60 percent of the global population -- by the end of the period, up from 3.4 billion last year. It predicts 28.5 billion fixed and mobile personal devices and connections in four years at an average 3.6 per person, up from 2.4 per person last year. More than half of all devices and connections by 2022 will be machine-to-machine, up from 34 percent last year. Global fixed broadband speeds are forecast to grow from 39 Mbps to 75.4 Mbps, and Wi-Fi connection speeds will more than double to 54 Mbps. Average mobile connection speeds will rise to 28.5 Mbps from 8.7 Mbps, and video, gaming and multimedia will comprise more than 85 percent of traffic. Gaming traffic is expected to grow ninefold over the period, to 4 percent of traffic, and virtual and augmented reality traffic will skyrocket, reaching 4 exabytes monthly as more consumers and businesses use the technologies. North America is forecast to see triple IP traffic growth to 108 exabytes monthly.

Internet law must derive from globally agreed principles, representatives from nine parliaments said in a declaration signed Tuesday in London. The members of an "international grand committee" investigating disinformation and "fake news" noted that the "world in which the traditional institutions of democratic government operate is changing at an unprecedented pace." Legislatures and governments must urgently ensure that citizens' fundamental rights and safeguards aren't violated or undermined by the unchecked march of technology, they said. "Representative democracy is too important and too hard won to be left undefended from online harms." The declaration's principles state: (1) The internet is global and the law relating to it must have globally agreed principles. (2) Deliberate spreading of disinformation is a credible threat to democracy. (3) Global technology companies must recognize their great power and show they're ready to accept responsibility. (4) Social media companies should be held liable if they fail to comply with judicial, statutory or regulatory orders to take down harmful and misleading content from their platforms. (5) Tech companies must demonstrate accountability to users by making themselves fully answerable to national legislatures and other organs of representative democracy. Signers represented Argentina, Belgium, Brazil, Canada, France, Ireland, Latvia, Singapore and the U.K. Lawmakers took testimony Tuesday from, among others, Facebook Vice President-Policy Solutions Richard Allan and U.K. Information Commissioner Elizabeth Denham. Legislators at the hearing called it unprecedented, given the breadth of countries represented. They chastised Facebook for not sending CEO Mark Zuckerberg. The company declined further comment to us, as did the Internet Association. "I wouldn't characterize the decision as a 'blowing off'" of the invitation for Zuckerberg to appear, Allan responded to Charlie Angus of Canada's House of Commons, who used that phrase and said the company "lost the trust of the international community to self-police." "Our intent is to be there, to answer the questions that you have" at appearances in various countries, Allan said, apologizing. Zuckerberg and the company are engineering fixes, Allan said. "I will not disagree with you that we have damaged public trust through some of the actions we have taken," Allan said. He acknowledged the company had hired Definers, a firm it's stopped working with that targets critics (see 1811230021). He said a "regulatory framework" may be needed. It's not "up to Facebook to determine what regulatory structure it ought to be under, it's up to parliaments," the U.K.'s Damian Collins said. "That's why we're here."

This year's FCBA FCC chairman's dinner on Dec. 6 won't coincide with the National Christmas Tree lighting that snarls traffic and closes many streets. It's the first time they won't overlap in the memory of some longtime attendees. This year's lighting is earlier than usual, on Wednesday evening. This tree event doesn't seem to have affected dinner attendance, expected at 1,500-plus this year and little changed from 2017, said FCBA Executive Director Kerry Loughney. The National Park Service didn't comment on why its event date had changed from years past.

From harsher criminal penalties for some streaming piracy to more engagement with U.S. trade partners, media groups, tech companies and others had suggestions for the Office of the U.S. Intellectual Property Enforcement Coordinator in docket 2018-19863 as IPEC puts together its next three-year joint strategic plan. Google said IPEC should seek feedback from rights holders on hurdles to suing rogue sites in foreign courts and a modernization of the Copyright Office by putting registration and recordation systems online. Calling streaming piracy via plug-and-play devices an "insidious" threat, NCTA said the U.S. needs to engage trading partners more on adopting and enforcing copyright protections, and IPEC needs to prioritize trying to persuade trading partners to shut illicit streaming services. It said the FCC should use RF equipment authorization powers to deter makers and importers of piracy devices from selling in the U.S. by bringing "stiff" monetary penalties. BSA sought engagement with trade partners. The Copyright Alliance and MPAA urged continued public access to Whois data (see here and here). The alliance said IPEC should back harmonization of criminal penalties for copyright infringement, so infringement of a public performance right -- typically a misdemeanor -- is treated the same as infringement of the reproduction and distribution rights, which can result in felony charges. It said the Trusted Notifier program between MPAA and some domain name registries bore fruit in fighting online infringement, and IPEC should encourage more domain registries and registrars to employ similar arrangements. The Independent Film & TV Alliance and RIAA and National Music Publishers' Association (see here and here) said Congress should classify large-scale streaming piracy as a felony. The U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement doesn't include a fair use standard, and IPEC should encourage U.S. trade negotiators to push for one, R Street Institute said, urging roundtable discussions on such issues as how the U.S. can encourage other nations to adopt fair use models. Public Knowledge said IPEC needs to be mindful of how enforcement schemes might affect non-infringing users. PK said enforcement should focus "on targeted bad actors." The Internet Association said the U.S. needs to defend copyright law flexibility that includes fair use and Digital Millennium Copyright Act safe harbors both domestically and internationally. Push back against curtailing intermediary liability protections, IA asked. Tech groups told the U.S. Trade Representative that bolstering IP rights should be a high priority in negotiating a new trade agreement with Japan (see 1811260011).

Bid commitments reached $182.1 million in the 28 GHz band auction Monday, with provisionally winning bids on 2,447 of 3,072 licenses, said the FCC dashboard. Bids were at $145.1 million Nov. 20, before the auction closed for Thanksgiving. Bidding is to resume Tuesday with four more rounds.

FCC Chairman Ajit Pai said he asked staff to expand "engagement with Tribal stakeholders so that their views and insights more fully inform our efforts to identify and develop measures to address, unserved Tribal areas." He noted a recent GAO report urging improved FCC data collection on tribal broadband and input from tribal members (see 1809100041), writing to Reps. Frank Pallone, D-N.J, and Greg Walden, R-Ore., Commerce Committee ranking member and chairman, respectively, and other lawmakers, posted Wednesday in docket 18-5. Meanwhile, Pai responded to Sen. Ron Wyden, D-Ore., who voiced concerns about law enforcement use of cell-site stimulators (StingRays) to identify nearby devices and intercept calls. The FCC's role in such law enforcement use is "limited," wrote Pai: "We do not have the authority or expertise to determine which technologies are most appropriate for law enforcement use." Pai told Wyden: "You note a report from Canada and unsupported allegations that cell-site simulators cause significant interference to emergency services. Career Commission staff was unable to find actual test results by law enforcement authorities in Canada or any other credible evidence that authorized cell-site simulators used by federal law enforcement in the United States are failing to comply with the domestic requirement to cause a 'minimum of interference.'" Separately responding to Wyden cybersecurity concerns about Signaling System 7 vulnerabilities, Pai invited the senator or staff to visit the FCC to view a Communications Security, Reliability, and Interoperability Council risk assessment report "in camera," and to contact the Secret Service and FBI for data on breaches in customer proprietary network information, including SS7-specific breaches.

The previous FCC “turned a blind eye to the modern media marketplace,” said FCC Chairman Ajit Pai in a letter to Sen. Susan Collins, R-Maine, posted Wednesday responding to her inquiry on media diversity. Pai said his FCC has tackled the issue by promoting “a more diverse and competitive media marketplace” by creating the broadcast incubator program and other initiatives. The previous FCC’s stance “reflected a 1970s media market and did nothing to promote diversity or competition,” Pai said. “The broadcasting industry deserves to have rules that make sense for the digital age and that allow them to thrive and better provide service to consumers.”

The FCC Wireless Bureau approved a request to extend until Dec. 11 the deadline for reply comments on the C-band NPRM that had been sought by a variety of groups (see 1811200055), according to a docket 18-122 order Wednesday.

Participants for a Nov. 30 FCC artificial intelligence and machine learning event (see 1811070039) include academics and tech executives. Arizona State University professor Subbarao Kambhampati will give the keynote. Chairman Ajit Pai will moderate two panels. Kambhampati, Microsoft Director-Technology Policy Carolyn Nguyen and MIT-IBM Watson AI Lab Director David Cox are on the first. Participants for the second are CTA Senior Manager-Government Affairs Michael Hayes, Qualcomm Senior Director-Engineering Yongbin Wei, Nokia Lab Leader Chris White, Frame.io Data Head Matthew Ruttley and Georgetown University Medical Center Chief Data Scientist Subha Madhavan.

The date of a Phoenix Center telecom event is Dec. 4.