The U.S. is preparing several new restrictions on exports of semiconductor manufacturing equipment to China to further impede Beijing’s semiconductor capabilities, according to multiple reports.

The House of Representatives passed a bill that offers tax credits and grants to semiconductor manufacturers and increases government spending on science research, on a 243-187 vote on July 28. Twenty-four Republicans voted for the bill. Rep. Sara Jacobs, D-Calif., voted present, as her family founded major chipmaker Qualcomm, which will benefit from the bill.

Trade groups that represent semiconductor manufacturers and customers lauded the Senate's passage of incentives for domestic manufacturing, while unions and a union-funded advocacy group both praised the bill and said trade provisions that were not included still need to pass.

U.S. export controls on artificial intelligence may not be the right strategy to hinder Chinese progress in certain AI subfields, including machine learning, Georgetown University’s Center for Security and Emerging Technology said in a report this week. While the controls may seem “attractive in the abstract,” the report said most decoupling regimes are “imperfect and frequently act as a hindrance, rather than an absolute bar, to a rival’s technological progress.”

The U.S. should enter into a free trade agreement with the government of Taiwan "by the end of next year," former Secretary of Defense Mark Esper said during a July 26 Atlantic Council webinar. The former secretary, now on the board of the think tank, went on to say that not only should the U.S. pursue an agreement with Taiwan, but that America should persuade its European allies to do the same, regardless of pushback from China.

Commerce Secretary Gina Raimondo, during a July 24 interview on Face the Nation, said that although some critics of the CHIPS bill say it helps semiconductor companies expand chip production in China due to grandfather provisions, she says the guardrails are adequate.

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Two technical committees that advise the Bureau of Industry and Security plan to work together on a proposal to create a "trusted exporter" program, similar to the trusted trader program for importers. Sensors and Instrumentation Technical Advisory Committee Co-Chair Jennifer O'Bryan said during a July 26 quarterly meeting of SINTAC that the Regulations and Procedures Technical Advisory Committee wants to work on such a proposal.

The U.S. should shift away from only using export controls as a technology competition strategy against China and instead turn to domestic investment, Ling Chen, a Wilson Center China fellow, said in a July report funded by the think tank. “Weaponizing” supply chains will only “galvanize” China, the report said, causing it to “accelerate” its technological development. “The effect of the tech war may be counterproductive for the United States,” the report said.

The departments of Commerce and Defense are establishing a new forum to better study potential controls for emerging technologies, Bureau of Industry and Security Undersecretary Alan Estevez said, speaking during a July 19 House Foreign Affairs Committee hearing. He said he has asked DOD to help him stand up a “critical technologies review board” to coordinate over a range of evolving technologies, including semiconductors, biotechnology and quantum computing. “This board will help BIS to understand the technologies DOD is investing in for military use,” he said, “and to help us impose appropriate controls for those technologies.” BIS recently announced it would stop categorizing technologies as either emerging or foundational before a control is imposed, which it hopes will help the interagency process move faster (see 2206270007).