China is growing increasingly confrontational on trade issues and may be more willing to respond to U.S. sanctions with restrictions of its own, experts told the U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission Sept. 9. As China mulls retaliation against the U.S., the Trump administration should focus on areas in which it has leverage over China by continuing to push for purchases under the phase one trade deal and restrict Chinese attempts to develop advanced technologies, the experts said.

The Trump administration is considering placing export controls on China’s top chipmaker, the latest move in a campaign of restrictions aimed at Chinese technology companies. The controls would target the Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation by placing it on the Commerce Department’s Entity List, Reuters said in a Sept. 4 report. The effort is being spearheaded by the Defense Department, the report said, which petitioned Commerce’s End User Committee last week to add SMIC to the Entity List.

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While industry welcomed the U.S. June decision to allow companies to more easily participate in standards-setting bodies in which Huawei is a member (see 2006160035), the administration should expand the rule to exempt all businesses on the Entity List, companies and trade groups said in comments last month. If the Bureau of Industry and Security does not expand the rule, companies will still be hampered at international standards bodies and could continue to cede technology leadership to China, they said.

The Bureau of Industry and Security released its long-awaited pre-rule for foundational technologies (see 2005190052), asking for industry feedback on the types of technologies BIS should target for potential export controls. The effort, which BIS is pursuing alongside restrictions for emerging technologies, seeks to pinpoint technologies that the agency said may warrant more strict controls.

The Bureau of Industry and Security added 60 entities to the Entity List, including 24 entities for helping the Chinese military build artificial islands in the South China Sea. BIS also designated entities in France, Hong Kong, Indonesia, Malaysia, Oman, Pakistan, Russia, Switzerland and the United Arab Emirates for a range of activities, including illegal exports to Iran, submitting false information to BIS, contributing to Russian biological weapons programs and more. BIS also revised five existing entries under Canada, Germany, Hong Kong, Iran and the UAE.

The Commerce Department’s recent restrictions against Huawei could “create substantial uncertainty and disruption” for the semiconductor supply chain, leading to lost sales and an eroding customer base for U.S.-origin goods, a semiconductor manufacturing industry group said Aug. 24. Semi asked Commerce to extend the deadline for the savings clause in its Aug. 17 rule and review licenses for non-5G items with “significant flexibility.”

After the first high-level review of the phase one trade deal, the principals talked about progress and ensuring the success of the U.S.-China trade agreement, but some believe the happy talk can't obscure that China and the U.S. are disentangling their mutual dependency in tech goods and services. “There is a re-alignment that is happening in real time,” Rideau Potomac Strategy Group President Eric Miller said in an Aug. 25 phone interview, the day after the call. U.S. and Chinese trade officials reemphasized their commitment to the phase one agreement during the Aug. 24 call, the Office of the U.S. Trade Representative said.

The semiconductor industry was surprised by the U.S.’s increased restrictions on Huawei (see 2008170029) and expects significant short-term supply chain disruptions, industry officials and experts said in interviews. Officials also thought the initial version of the rule, issued in May (see 2005150058), was sufficient, and were frustrated that the Bureau of Industry and Security did not ask for feedback on the new requirements.

Cree views 5G as a “multiyear expansion, with major traction coming,” CEO Gregg Lowe said on an Aug. 18 investor call. The company supplies silicon-carbide radio frequency (RF) and power chips for 5G infrastructure applications. “There have been a number of recent announcements coming out of Asia pointing towards growing 5G momentum in that region. While the global pandemic has further delayed some rollouts in other regions, we continue to be well positioned to support this global expansion.” Cree stopped shipping to Huawei “for the better part of a year” after the Commerce Department’s export ban took effect, Lowe said: “We have no Huawei revenue plans in any of our future projections or forecasts.” Any “large impact” from Huawei, “we've basically taken it out of the picture,” he said. “We have developed good relationships with other players around the world and are repurposing the technology that we had developed for Huawei for those customers.” Lowe conceded the “Huawei situation was a pretty significant setback for us. ... But we've adjusted our plans, we've adjusted our focus to go after non-Huawei customers.”