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Consultancy: Trade Tensions Could Fragment the Global Tech Ecosystem

Expect to see U.S. deregulatory efforts focus on reducing environmental and bureaucratic hurdles for sectors like cryptocurrency, while space, AI and quantum research benefit from bolstered funding, Access Partnership said Monday in a series of 2025 tech policy predictions. It…

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predicted that while cybersecurity will remain a priority, key agencies in the sector could nonetheless see restructuring or budget cuts. Access said there's a risk of increasingly fragmented technology ecosystems due to trade tensions, with other nations erecting defenses in response to the U.S., which could lead to localized data requirements, non-U.S.-aligned certification standards and preferences for indigenous technologies. The U.S. could lose influence if it doesn't remain engaged in multilateral efforts on such issues as AI, cybersecurity and open telecom standards like open radio access networks. Access said there will be increased decoupling from China, which will drive investment in restoring critical technologies such as semiconductors.