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Russia Tech Restrictions Could Serve as Blueprint for China Strategy, Expert Says

The coordinated export controls being levied against Russia by many of the world’s democracies could lay the framework for also cutting off sensitive technologies to China, said Martin Chorzempa, a China expert with the Peterson Institute for International Economics. The current controls against Russia, if “effectively implemented by enough other countries,” could “amount to a near blockade” of advanced technology exports to Russia, Chorzempa wrote March 7, and prove that coordinated controls are effective. He said these same plurilateral restrictions could be used against China in the future, or sooner if the country continues to supply Russia.

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China would “pay a heavy reputational cost by undermining such a powerful alliance,” Chorzempa wrote. “Just as Russia crossed the border into Ukraine, the international community has crossed a border into making internationally supported export controls more legitimate as a tool to punish outliers.”